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FREE
ODDS At the craps table, I am often asked why I never lay or take the odds once a point has been established. I'm sure that my reasons will raise the hackles of many dont pass, as well as pass line, craps players. On the dont pass, once I've
gotten by the dreaded come-out roll, and a point has been established, my bet is the best
bet on the table. Its something like having an even-money bet on the best team, with
no point spread, and they're leading at half-time. But against all odds, I've seen too
many underdogs win to ever think that I've got a sure thing, no matter what I've bet on. I
cannot see any advantage to putting more money at risk, to win less, in such a situation
just because the odds are in my favor. Show me a craps player who has never seen a hot shooter repeatedly make points like the 4 and 10, and I'll show you a craps player who hasn't been around the tables for very long. Craps is a game in which even the most improbable is possible, and I've seen dont pass players crying the blues when outside points and dont come bets with odds get picked off one after another like ducks in a shooting gallery. (I just cant believe it. they say.) It reminds me of right side bettors when consecutive 7-outs sometimes come very soon after each come-out roll, sweeping away any of their pass, come, and place bets. (I just cant believe it. they also say.) Well,
believe it, because I've been there, and done that, on both sides of the craps table, and
I used to just hate it when that happened to me. I have enough gray hairs already, and I
don't crave any additional excitement when I'm just trying my best to come out ahead, and
overcome the casino's advantage over any bet on the table. Despite
numerous articles and gambling advice written to the contrary, free odds is
nothing more than a brilliant invention by the casinos to entice players to put more money
on the craps table. Free odds only serve to reduce the advantage of a
hard-earned even-money dont pass bet over any established point by requiring the
overall risk of more than can be won, due to its mathematical probability. Conversely,
they offer the temptation of a higher-than-even-money payoff behind the line on a pass
line bet, due to its mathematical improbability. (So what exactly is free
about all of this?) Losses
are bad enough when they happen to anyone. But risking more with free odds
just doesn't cut it for me. Granted, there will be times when the sun will shine, and odds
will increase profits. But what about when the dark clouds move in, and one side of the
craps table or the other becomes "Tornado Alley", with all bets in its path
being sucked up by the storm? Well, I'm not Dorothy, and the craps
table isn't Kansas. A small loss beats a big loss for me any day, and Ive found that
losing less, by risking less, helps to keep my bankroll intact for much longer, and
usually helps me come out ahead in the long run. Good luck, and play smart.
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