Juan’s “High
Roller's Secrets” Part II
Get rated for four
hours of craps play by wagering for only thirty minutes.
First, I am going to restate all of the
reasons why you should consider craps as the game you should choose to
earn your RFB status. (Room, Food, Beverage)
1. Craps offers the lowest house odds
against the player.
2. Craps is reasonably an easy game to
play.
3. Craps is reasonably easy to evaluate
for playing conditions.
4. If you use my wagering strategy, you
will have a three to one ratio advantage
for each individual wagering
situation.
5. It is the easiest game of all for spot
play. By spot play, I mean, putting money
at risk for extremely limited amounts
of time. On and off, in and out.
6. Craps gives you the ability to allow
the other players to finance your playing
time. By this, I mean, other people
risk their money and keep the game going
while you are out of action, waiting
for your next betting opportunity.
7. Advanced techniques can be learned to
place the advantage in the favor of the
player.
8. Large wagering variations in advanced
play never cause the casino personnel
to place "heat" on your play. The
casino's view craps as a game of luck, not
skill. Therefore a skilled player is
not perceived as an enemy of the house
bankroll.
9. Craps is a game of variations in the
normal ratios of the numbers on the dice.
During a hot roll, a skilled bettor
can make very large wins.
10. If a table turns "cold", you can sit
out for these periods, keeping your money
out of harms way, and yet, still
get playing time credit from the casino, as
long as you remain in the game.
Note: This is the single most important
concept for using craps to earn RFB
benefits from the casino. You will ride
out these periods of adverse
conditions, keeping your money in your rack,
watching and waiting for the table
conditions to change. I am not saying, that
you will be able to buy in, make
one wager, for one roll of the dice, and then
hang around for four hours
expecting a rating slip that will earn you RFB
status. This will not occur.
However, if the table is cold or choppy, you can
make as few as one wager every ten
to fifteen minutes, and you will be
fully rated for every hour you are
at the game.
Note: Each casino will rate
this style of play slightly differently. It is important
to evaluate each casino's rating
style to determine which one you will make
your "home" casino.
The only wager I use is the Place Bets.
Specifically, I suggest you bet the inside numbers. You will bet the 5, 9,
6, and 8 simultaneously. This is called "placing the inside numbers". So,
when you want to make this bet, you will set your money into the Come area
of the layout, and with your hand still resting on the money, state
"$44.00 inside ", or "$154.00 inside", or "$220.00 inside". This will tell
the dealer what your bet is, and the size of the bet. I have included a
table at the end of the article showing a wide range of these wagers, and
their respective unit payoff. If you do not understand the basic wagers in
craps, I suggest you get the playbook
"Do's and Don'ts of Dice"
to bring yourself up to speed about the basics of the game plus a lot
more. (The
playbook is available on Dicesetter.com web site.)
Until your dealer becomes familiar with
your wagering style, be sure to announce "including the point" any time
you make a wager and the shooter has established a point of 5, 6, 8, or 9.
Note: Always bet all four numbers, and take them out of action as a
team. Just think about the bets as your football team and you are their
quarterback. You direct your team as to when you are going to try to
attack the other team’s weakness.
Let’s look at the logic for this wager.
There are a total of 36 combinations on a pair of dice. Of the 36
outcomes, eighteen combinations result in 5, 6, 8 or 9. This provides for
a fifty percent chance, on any given roll, that one of the inside numbers
will be rolled.
(or not)
There are six combinations that result in a seven. With place bets on the
"inside numbers", you will win when any of those numbers are rolled.
Should a seven be rolled you will lose the entire wager. I refer to place
betting the inside numbers as a "set-up". I will use this term
frequently. Each time you see "set-up", I am referring to a wager on the
5, 9, 6, and 8, simultaneously. My strategy boils down to this: I place
my set-up into action, and get one or two wins, per shooter. I like to
call it a sniper strategy, one hit, maybe two, and then, I get my team out
of harms way. Here are the rules to follow to accomplish this goal.
1. Wait until you see at least five rolls
of the dice without a seven appearing.
2. When the current shooter has lost the
dice to a seven out, you will be ready to wager on the next shooter.
3. If the new shooter throws a point on
his or her come-out roll, you will immediately place the inside numbers 5,
9, 6, and 8. You will leave your wager active for only one or two
rolls. If you hit a number on the first roll and are paid, you will
immediately take your wager down. *You will not make another wager on this
shooter, unless the shooter makes the point and then rolls a seven
during the come-out roll. You may then try for a second win with this
shooter. Simply place bet the 5, 9, 6, and 8, for a second time. Note: If
two rolls of the dice occur, any time you have your wager active, and you
do not win on either roll, you will call your wager off. You will not make
your wager active until a new shooter has established a point. The
safest approach is for you to be satisfied with winning just one
number (winning one of your bets) on each shooter. (*Unless the
specific game conditions mentioned here, in part three, occur.)
4. If a shooter rolls craps during any
come-out roll, you must wait for a minimum of three rolls of the dice,
before you call your wagers live. If additional craps rolls occur during
any of those three subsequent rolls, you must add three rolls more, before
considering calling your wager active. If a seven occurs during the
three-roll count, and it is still a come-out roll, then the craps count is
cancelled, and you will revert to rule #3 above, and play accordingly.
5. With each bet, you can experience a
loss of a set-up wager to a seven out roll. If this happens, you will set
aside four chips in your rack. These chips represent the number of
individual wins you will need, in order, to recuperate your lost set-up.
(Assuming that you continue to play and wager the same set-up amount.)
Remove one chip each time you win a bet until you have recouped all four
chips. This helps you keep track of where you are in the game. (Money
management.)
During catch up time, I recommend that
you take one win per shooter and limit the exposure from a seven out.
Never try for more than one win per set-up after you have had a loss,
unless you have noted that three of your inside numbers (5, 9, 6, 8,) have
occurred back to back. You can attempt to win more than one number if the
shooter is throwing the inside numbers in a streak of at least 4 back to
back. Let the frequency of sevens be your guide in making this decision.
If you have noted a hand, rolled within the previous three shooters, that
developed five or more inside numbers in a row, then this would be the
time to try for a second and possibly third winning number. If you have
not noted a strong grouping of inside numbers, I do not recommend making
your set-up "live" after the fourth inside number is rolled. Wait to see
how many more inside numbers may repeat and use this as your indicator on
the next shooter.
If the next shooter immediately begins to
roll inside numbers, then you may catch a repeating event of a cluster of
these numbers. This is where practice and time at the table will be
invaluable to you. Practice will train your brain into being able to spot
these types of situations. I will discuss practice in detail a little
later.
6. Any time you lose a set-up to a seven
out, you will not make another wager, until two shooters within three
have rolled at least six rolls between sevens. You can simply count the
numbers of rolls the shooter makes, and make a mental note if you get two
out of three who have rolled at least the minimum of six rolls of the dice
between sevens.
Note:
If the dice continue to roll with sevens
appearing every two to three rolls, on average, and very few inside
numbers roll back to back, you should consider leaving the game for a
break, or ending the playing session at that point. Periods of high seven
counts (averaging one seven for every two to three rolls) that extend over
40 rolls may indicate a game that will remain very difficult to play for
extended time periods. This is why you will be much better off, to exit
this type of game. If your home casino does not have another table open,
which may offer better playing conditions, then this definitely would be a
good time to take a two to three hour break.
7. If you lose two set-ups back to back,
without winning a bet and you have followed rules one through six, table
departure is indicated. Do not chase your losses. If you lose two set-ups
in a row, this indicates that the game is deteriorating and the repeating
numbers are not occurring. These conditions may continue for quite a
while. If you do not have another table to consider, it is recommend that
you "play on paper" or just watch. If you find that you can win "on paper"
three consecutive times, as the game rules allow, then you might consider
resuming play. At this point your goal is to win eight numbers without a
loss in order to recuperate the two lost set-ups.
If you experience a third loss, you
should definitely leave this game. The game is too choppy and may continue
for an extended period. If you are unfortunate to not have any other games
open at your home casino during this time, you will need to suspend play
for at least one hour. Carefully evaluate the game conditions at this
table one-hour later, to determine if conditions have improved.
8. The simple way to determine if you
should enter any game is to watch the game for three or four shooters. You
can buy-in while doing the observation. If shooters are making passes and
the game seems to have a positive energy to it, then you are in position
to begin the play. If the table seems to have low energy, and most players
seem to be losing, you may still be able to play, but you must see
shooters rolling at least three or more inside numbers (5, 6, 8, or 9)
before the seven out. If this is the case, you may still engage play in a
game like this. However, stop play immediately if you lose a set-up before
being at least five units ahead.
9. Your goal is to keep your play
conservative and to not lose a set-up. In real play this is very difficult
to achieve. If you can win ten to eleven times for each set-up that is
lost, you will make a decent profit using this method of play. When you
are ahead by twelve units, you may consider increasing the level of your
set-up by 25% to 50%. Should a loss occur at the increased level you would
revert to you basic level of play. Should you be able to produce at least
four wins at the increased level, you may wish to increase again by 25%. I
do not recommend a more aggressive pressing plan until you have logged in
forty or more hours of live play.
10. Keep an accurate record of the amount
of time you play. You will want to log about four and one half hours of
playtime, using this method of play to earn full RFB comps for each day of
your stay. Once you have determined which casino you want to stay at, you
can refer to the bankroll chart to determine how much money you will need
to achieve your goal as a VIP player.
11. You must be patient! At first,
standing at a table for 15 or 20 minutes, without making a wager, may seem
like an eternity. Remember, you are playing to complete a four hour
session while risking your money for the least amount of time possible.
The time factor needs to be accepted in order to make that three to one
ratio advantage work to your benefit.
VIP Wagering Level
Chart and Bankroll Required
|
Set-Up Wager |
Win Per Number |
Bankroll |
$44 |
$14 |
$500 |
$66 |
$21 |
$700 |
$88 |
$28 |
$1,000 |
$110 |
$35 |
$1,200 |
$154 |
$49 |
$1,700 |
$220 |
$70 |
$2,500 |
$330 |
$105 |
$4,000 |
$440 |
$140 |
$5000 |
The bankroll requirements listed are the
minimum amount I recommend for each level of play. This gives you ten
set-ups to invest. Larger set-ups would not really be needed, unless
someone wanted to become classified as a premium player. Most of the major
resort casinos, consider someone who wagers a $5,000 minimum bet for four
hours per day to be in this league. Personally, my level is $220.
The neat thing is that this strategy will
work at any level. It is critical that you determine your own comfort
level for tolerance to risk. If you are not comfortable wagering $110 as
one play, then you must seek a casino that will compensate you at a lower
level of play.
Get into the habit of being rated at the
craps tables, and ask for free meals at the very minimum. If you do not
play for a full four-hour period to begin with, still ask for comp meals,
or a reduced room rate, or free show tickets, etc. This strategy will work
well for anyone who wants to really take advantage of the casinos RFB
policies. There are some advanced concepts that can be added to your play
later. Just the same, I am convinced that this method offers the most
effective and least risky way to become a casino VIP.
If you make a couple of trips or more per
year to any casino resort, receiving comps from the casino can drastically
reduce the cost of your vacation. This can be particularly effective if
you incorporate my method to earn those comps. You should break even at
the very least, and if you are really carefully and follow my method, you
can realistically expect to win money at the dice tables.
A final thought. Practice makes perfect.
I recommend to anyone, who wants to pursue this gaming concept, practice
first at home. Get yourself a pair of casino dice. Make a little box to
throw the dice in. Purchase inexpensive green felt at a fabric store. You
can use electrical tape to outline boxes on the felt and paint in the
numbers 5, 6, 8, and 9. Next, get yourself a pen and notebook. Begin to
throw the dice, follow the rules in my method, and record results. By
practicing at home, you will become adept at incorporating the game rules
I recommend. You can see for yourself how this can work for you. Then when
you venture into the casino and risk real money, you will have the
advantage of already experiencing how the method works.
You have something that very few of your
fellow craps players have. You have a bonus plan. You understand exactly
what you need to do to keep your losses to a minimum. You have a goal. You
will be in control of your emotions, and you will be a disciplined player.
You have an advantage in the game. The decision is yours to make. When to
play and when not to play is up to you. You can evaluate the game in
advance, and decide if the game presents a worthy opportunity for you to
risk your money or not.
You are the driver of your destiny’s bus.
You will not rely on luck. You will be playing to exploit the ebb and
flow of the natural distribution of the sevens and the four inside numbers
within the confines of the random outcomes of the rolls of the dice.
Remember: Eighteen combinations in your
favor, verses six ways to roll a seven.
Combined with a limited exposure to your
money, you have a long-term ratio working for you. Good gaming! Have fun,
relax, and play conservatively while the casinos roll out the red carpet
for you!
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