Current
Practice
Future Profitability
Part V
Your current
dice-influencing practice-sessions are inexorably tied to your future casino profit.
A player
shouldnt expect to reach a reasonable win-objective without first putting
substantial effort into developing a sustainable advantage over the house.
Little input gets
little output.
Clear
Head, Clear Eyes
Clear Opportunity
Practicing
your dice-shooting skills takes time and patience.
Practicing
WELL and getting the most out of your at-home sessions also takes concentration and
commitment.
Some
of the same things that can cause you to have a bad session in the casino will have just
as negative an effect on your skills when you practice at home.
Ø
If
you are tired, perturbed, distracted or fatigued, it will obviously affect your on-axis
efforts at home as much as it would in the casino.
Ø
If
you are unfocussed, preoccupied or troubled in any way, then it will also affect your
meticulous dice-handling skills too.
Ø
If
you think that alcohol can play a negative role in how well you do in the casino, then it
will just as likely have a negative effect when you roll the dice at home.
Ø
When
you have a clear attentive head with wide-awake and diligent focus; then your
practice-sessions will offer up a clearer view of all your current dice-influencing
opportunities.
Ø
If
your practice-sessions entail the opposite of that; then obviously your results will
likely produce conflicting, negatively-impacted, less-than-deserving results too.
That
leads us to our next pivotal
point
as far as serious dice-influencing advancement is concerned.
If you are really
serious about improving your game and especially your profitability
then read
on. If you arent
then youll
probably find the following ideas require a little too much effort for your current level
of commitment.
Chart
and Graph Your Progress
There
are a couple of great roll-tracking programs out there.
Maddogs Bonetracker spreadsheet program immediately comes to mind, and
of course so does the ubiquitous WinCraps software.
Each
of those can provide some unique dice-influencing insight.
For example, Bonetracker allows instant Transpositional dice-set analysis
(which lets you see what the same toss would have produced if you had used a
different set or a same-set but altered-face dice-orientation) which is a HUGE plus in my
books.
Many
savvy players have taken to using both sets of software since each offers its own unique
set of features.
Ø
If
you carefully track your dice-influencing progress, these programs open up all kinds of
previously-unseen opportunities which can generate revenue-growth and how-best-to-exploit-your-current-skills
excellence.
When
you look at a stock-market chart, you can see at a glance just where a certain stock has
been in the past
where it is now
and where the momentum of its current daily
trading-volume is presently trending.
Likewise,
when you use WinCraps to monitor your shooting
you can chart your SRR progress or
perhaps your Inside Number repeatability as well as your average-hand length. These graphically show where youve
been
where your skills are now
and where they will likely improve to in the near
future if you continue with your current practice regimen.
Where
BoneTracker shows its further brilliance is in its ability to manipulate your current
roll-stats to determine whether there is latent (as-yet-undiscovered) treasures that are
hiding in plain sight. If for example you
were to make a simple right-to-left switch of the dice while using the same set; or by
switching to an entirely different set or permutation, this software lets you see your
current ability (with those instantly transposed results) in a whole new profit-potential
light.
Ø
Some
players are also discovering that certain dice-sets that they had long ago discarded as
being inapplicable or counterproductive, or set-permutations that they never would have
thought about on their own; have now been legitimized by BoneTracker because their current
dice-throwing has matured to the point where that set or that permutation is
not only currently valid, but it now holds more profit-potential from exactly the same
skill-level than the one(s) they have been using up until now.
Ø
By
keeping track of your progress, you can gauge whether the refinements and fine-tuning that
you are currently working on are having the desired effect or whether you have to take
your efforts in a slightly different direction.
Combining
the practice-session use of both WinCraps and BoneTracker lets you detect, identify, and
quantify profit-making opportunities much easier, much faster, and with much more
exploitable (and cost-effective) certainty.
Tossing for Practice Versus
Roll-tracking For Opportunity
There
is a big difference between practicing to get your on-axis, primary-face toss perfectly
calibrated, adjusted and tuned; versus tracking each facial-outcome to determine where and
how your carefully refined toss will produce the best casino-wagering results.
Dont
confuse one exercise with the other.
Tossing
for practice and roll-tracking to determine the best profit-opportunities
are related, but each holds a specific purpose in terms of elevating your
Precision-Shooting money-making talents to the next level
and to the one beyond that
as well.
Ø
If
you need "practice" to get your toss properly grooved-in and to keep it
mechanically fluid; then do it separately from your roll-tracking throws.
Ø
If
you practice before you go to the casino, then fine, throw a few practice tosses...THEN
WAIT to begin throwing again to compensate for the time you leave home until you get the
dice in your hands at the casino. That way,
your roll-tracking results will more closely reflect and mimic the results you are likely
to produce in the casino. If you cheat
yourself at the practice-rig, then the skills-that-you-think-you-have will fool you
at the casino.
Ø
An
unrealistically staged roll-tracking session at home will likely produce results that are
hard to RELIABLY reproduce in the casino.
Ø
Likewise,
all things being equal, realistically staged roll-tracking sessions can produce results
that should more closely reflect your casino potential.
Ø
"Practice"
is where you fine-tune and tweak your set, grip, pick-up, swing, release, backspin (or
forward spin), targeting, trajectory, rebound and rollout, etc.
Ø
"Roll-tracking"
is where you try to establish a baseline of performance.
Your throw should be as consistent as possible. If you are radically tweaking your throw or still
experimenting with various toss-dynamics in the middle of a roll-tracking session; then
the results will be skewed as your results reflect the ebb and flow of success and failure
with various throw-permutations.
Ø
If
you want to give your roll-tracking data the fairest of evaluations (and to produce the
most meaningful of exploitable information); then you'll want each one of your tosses to
be as consistent as possible before you even begin to seriously track them.
Tracking Useful Information, and Ignoring the Superfluous Stuff
When you start tracking your rolls and graphing your Sevens-to-Rolls Ratio or your
Inside-Hit frequency or your Box-Numbers-to-Sevens Ratio or your Average Hand-Length or
your most dominant Signature-Numbers; you are going to end up with a lot of numbers in
front of you.
Your
job is to sift and sort through them in an effort to mine some useful nuggets of
dice-influencing insight and personal roll-stat wisdom out of all the chaff and
non-essential detritus.
Ø
Details
about what works, what doesn't work, and exactly what you did to produce your successful
hands is critical for future improvement.
Keep
in mind that all of this information is intended for one thing
to help you tailor
betting-methods that are custom-made to suit your current dice-influencing
skills.
All
of the information that you need to know about your current talents are held within your
roll-tracking stats. An aspiring
Precision-Shooters job is to put on his miners hat
and start digging.
I
guess you understand now why I said that you have to be really serious
about improving your game and your profitability when we start talking about all this
roll-tracking and result-analysis stuff.
Avoid Analysis Paralysis ESPECIALLY When You
Are Shooting
Id
like to temper all of those foregoing comments with a short qualifier
There
is a fine line between taking a careful look at what your roll-stats are trying to tell
you
and over-analysis, where you get bogged down and paralyzed by the minutia.
When
a players mind is paralyzed, he usually falls back into the same old betting-routines and
tired old wagering-methods that got him into trouble in the first place.
Scrutinizing
what your roll-results are telling you is not as complicated as trying to unravel
the DaVinci Code.
Sometimes
we get so wrapped up in breaking down, probing and dissecting everything about our
roll-tracking statistics, that we lose sight of the most important factor that will get us
to our objective.
THE
THROW IS THE THING.
Dice-influencing
success starts with the dice-throw and it ends with bets that are specifically focused on
(and tailored in size) to the actual advantage that your influence produces. However, having said that; all of our deep
info-extraction/exploitation and analysis should be done AFTER our roll-tracking
session is finished.
Ø
It's
important for aspiring dice-influencers not to over-think what they are doing especially
when the dice are in their hands during roll-tracking rounds. That is what your practice-tossing and
throw-adjustment sessions are for.
Ø
Any
in-depth analysis of your overall roll-stats should be done when the tracking-round is
completed.
Ø
Most
of your toss-tweaking, throw-dynamic adjustments and fine-tuning should be done during
your practice-sessions.
Ø
We
reserve our roll-tracking rounds for roll-after-roll-after-roll repeatability
trials
and then we use those roll-result outcomes to determine where our current
Precision-Shooting strengths, weakness, threats and opportunities are.
Ø
During
our roll-tracking exercises, our primary task is to focus on making each throw the best
throw that we can make. When that throw is finished, then the next throw
becomes the immediately over-riding task.
Profit flows from an on-axis throw.
That
means that during your roll-tracking session, you have to focus on just one
thing...the very next toss of the dice.
If
your roll-tracking sessions are focused solely on making your next throw your best
throw, then you are mentally and physically preparing yourself to reliably recall and
deliver-up that same level of on-axis, primary-face intensity when you pick up the dice in
the casino.
Now
That Ive Got It
What Do I Do With It?
The
larger your edge over the house; the more likely youll be able to exploit it on a
consistent money-making basis.
The
lower your edge over the house; the riskier and more unreliable your profit-producing
capability becomes.
In
other words
Ø
The
more you can count on your Precision-Shooting skills and the more you focus on the
higher-frequency opportunities; the more youll be able to reliably profit from them.
Ø
The
more you reach for the once-in-a-blue-moon sextuple parlays; the more youll have all
of that annoying volatility and bankroll-gnawing frustration to deal with.
Ø
The
more predictable and repeatable your highest-ranking opportunities are; the more
youll be able to derive maximum duplicable financial benefit from them.
Ø
The
more unpredictable, isolated and elusive your sporadic long-shot successes are; the less
youll be able to reliably derive sustainable financial benefit from them.
I
know weve covered this subject before in excruciating detail in both in the lengthy How To GET
It And How To KEEP It series, as well as the numerous How To Get
THERE From HERE articles, but its overriding importance to the global
success of your efforts demands its repeating.
If
you manage to get a dice-influencing advantage over the casino; then you have to determine
the best way to exploit it.
Ø
You
have to determine which bets (and at what level) your edge will produce the steadiest or
most efficient profit.
Ø
You
also have to understand that your edge will rarely be so big that you can afford to chase
every betting-whim and wagering-impulse that your gambling heart desires.
What
an advantage-player does with the edge that hes got, determines whether the casinos
money becomes his
or if his money becomes theirs.
Dont Dilute Your Results or Unwittingly
Underestimate Your Current Skills
Some players have
kept track of their results from Day-One of their journey on the road to
dicesetting success.
While that is a
good way to see just how far you have come ever since youve started; the overall
numbers pertaining to SRR (Sevens-to-Roll-Ratio), Signature Numbers or any other stats
that you keep; can be very deceiving when you use too large of a sampling of rolls that
have been accumulated and collected over an extended period of time.
Ø
Ask yourself if your Precision-Shooting is
better or worse now than it was just three or four months ago.
Ø
If it is better, but you are still using those
ancient rolls in the overall calculation of how much of an edge you have over the house
and using them to determine your best betting-opportunities; then you may be severely
shortchanging yourself.
If you derive
those figures from the entirety of all of the hands you have thrown over all of the months
or years since you began; then you are unfairly diluting and concealing your current
skill-level.
Dont dilute
your results or unfairly underestimate and unwittingly diminish your current skills.
Ø
By considering your shooting-numbers within too
big of an historical range or too large of an improving-skills picture, you may not be
able to see the forest for all of the trees. Or
in the alternative, the forest may be blinding and impairing your ability to find the one
species of tree that you are presently interested in harvesting.
Simply stated,
your current skills can be unjustly watered-down and adulterated (if not entirely hidden),
due to the large size of your roll-tracking sample.
That is
because
The length
of time and the huge number of rolls that your current abilities are being measured
against is not allowing your present skill-level to shine brightly enough to shed a
properly concentrated light on your CURRENT skill-set.
Ø
You CANNOT use the huge picture
numbers that you have rolled over the past three or four years (or even the last four or
five months) UNLESS YOU HAVENT IMPROVED at all in that time-frame.
Ø
If indeed you have improved, then
you may find it more advantageous (and exploitably profitable) to use a sort of sliding-scale
snapshot to measure where you are NOW (over the last couple of weeks) compared to
where you were last year.
Ø
Your roll-stats from the last three or four
weeks are certainly more indicative of your CURRENT skill-set than some ancient throws
that you were making when you first started down this Precision-Shooting trail.
Ø
Your recent roll-stat performance is certainly
more relevant to present-day betting-opportunities, and is also more pertinent when it
comes to fixing and repairing current shooting flaws and shortcomings.
Ø
Giving more weight and relevance to
the most recent stats allows your current betting to be more in tune with your current
abilities.
Ø
By using a recent-performance (forward-moving
snapshot), many players are surprised to discover just how out-of-step their current
wagering-methods are to their current dice-influencing skills.
Ø
If you dilute your current performance with the
numbers that youve compiled over many months or even years; then it acts to hide and
conceal the present measure and full potential of your current skill.
Your
snapshots or time-frames of progress-measurement should be of a sufficient
length to ensure that you arent just having a few lucky or aberrant sessions; but
short enough to fairly and reasonably measure your on-going where-are-my-skills-RIGHT-NOW
progress.
You can keep all
of the roll-stats that you have compiled since day-one, but you should definitely view
them only in their proper perspective with a forward-moving average (where you take the
last, lets say 360, 720, 1080 or 2160 rolls), and use those most-recently-influenced
rolls as the chief indicator of your CURRENT capabilities and competence.
By using a
sliding-average, youll still be able to chart your overall progress, but your right-here/right-now
wagering possibilities wont be as hidden (and watered-down) due to the vastness and
enormity of your overall roll-tracking sample.
While were
on this subject
Ø
Many savvy advantage-players find it incredibly
useful to break each element of their game down to specific components like Come-Out
rolls, Point-Shooting, Signature-Numbers, Point-cycle duration and average roll-length,
while using those same sliding-average snapshots to see just how far they have
progressed (as well as making sure that each element of their game contributes to
instead of diminishing from their overall profitability).
The more
accurately you are able evaluate the relative merits of what your current
Precision-Shooting efforts are producing; the more youll be able to rationally
determine where the clearest and most deserving legitimate betting opportunities
are RIGHT NOW.
Applicability and Practicality
So how does your
current practice tie into your future casino profit?
Ø
A clear head, a clear goal, and a clear plan
pilots your practice regimen success.
Ø
When you take that same winning-resolve into
the casino, then on-demand roll-after-roll-after-roll on-axis, primary-face repeatability
is more easily accessible and recallable.
Ø
Graphing and charting your progress with
WinCraps and BoneTracker provides
unique insight into previously-unseen revenue-growth and how-best-to-exploit-your-current-skill
prospects.
Ø
Dice-influencing
success starts with the dice-throw and it ends with bets that are specifically focused on
and tailored-in-size to the actual advantage that your influence produces.
Ø
Most
of your toss-tweaking, throw-dynamic adjustments and fine-tuning should be done during
your practice-sessions, while your roll-tracking rounds are generally reserved for
reliability trials and bet-analysis as well as in-the-moment trend-recognition and
exploitation.
Ø
During
your roll-tracking exercises, your primary task is to focus on making each throw
the best throw that you can make. When the current throw is finished, then
the next throw becomes the immediately compelling task.
Ø
The
larger your edge over the house; the more likely youll be able to exploit it on a
consistent money-making basis. The more you
can count on your Precision-Shooting skills and the more you focus on the higher-frequency
opportunities; the more youll be able to reliably profit from them. The more predictable and repeatable your
highest-ranking opportunities are; the more youll be able to derive maximum
financial benefit from them.
Ø
The
lower your edge over the house is; the riskier and more unreliable your profit-producing
capability becomes. The more you reach for
the once-in-a-blue-moon sextuple parlays; the more youll have to deal with all that
annoying volatility and bankroll-gnawing frustration.
The more unpredictable, isolated and elusive your sporadic long-shot
successes are; the less youll be able to reliably derive sustainable financial
benefit from this game.
Ø
By
using a sliding-average roll-tracking snapshot to judge your current abilities,
youll still be able to chart your overall progress, but your right-here/right-now
wagering possibilities wont be as hidden or unintentionally diluted because of the
vastness and enormity of your roll-tracking sample.
Ø
Breaking
your game down to specific components like Come-Out rolls, Point-Shooting,
Signature-Numbers, Point-cycle duration and average roll-length; ensures that each and every
betting-element of your game contributes to your overall profitability.
Your current
practice-sessions are so inexorably tied to your future casino profit, that you cant
reasonably expect to reliably reach your objectives if you dont put the necessary
efforts into properly developing them.
Good
Luck & Good Skill at the Tables
and in Life.
Sincerely,
The
Mad Professor
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