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Blasphemy
courtesy
of The Mad Professor Ill start by
saying this: The Hardway
dice-set promotes laziness and lowers your SRR. Yes, I know that
sounds like blasphemy to some people. Yes, I know that
the Hardway-set is THE set used by most followers of the PARR faith. Yes, I know that
this set is the most forgiving for novice Precision-Shooters because its
off-axis results usually avoid the 7. But heres
what else it does. The Hardway-set DOES
promote laziness because when you are first starting on your journey to successful
dice-shooting, it really DOES work better than random-rolling. You almost always get immediate improvement in
your shooting success, but also it leads to reinforcing bad Precision-Shooting habits. Heres why: As a beginner, when
you set the dice and throw them to the other end of the table, you have many more off-axis
results than actual intentional on-axis outcomes. Since your throwing-mechanics are not fine-tuned
and polished yet, one or more dice often go off-axis.
That usually results in an off-axis non-7 outcome. Thats a good
thing, so lets continue. After a number of
successful (profitable) hands in the casino using this method, the novice sees that their
casino-rolls are longer, and they profit better than they did as random-rollers. With that kind of success, the greenhorn thinks
that theyve have found both the Arc of the Covenant and the Pot of Gold at the end
of the casinos neon-hued rainbow. That
victorious accomplishment is achieved courtesy of Precision-Shooting and the Hardway-set. Okay, so far those
are still good things, but Im going to show you how that early success can lull you
into a false sense of ever-increasing progress, while in reality it holds you back from
greater (and more profitable) success. You would think
that all of those accomplishments with the Hardway-set would be a good thing, but here is
where it all starts to fall short. As the
novice-shooter practices more and more, their throwing-motion becomes more and more fluid
and locked into their muscle memory. Their
release becomes smoother and their targeting accuracy improves as well. The apprentice-shooter stays with the Hardway-set
because they saw so much initial improvement with their dice-lobs, they now believe that
they can get EVEN BETTER using the same set. Part of that belief
comes from having proved to themselves that dice-setting works, and of course
it really does, and because they have been told that this was the proper
set to use. Initially, the Hardway-set IS
the right way to go, but well soon see that as you improve, it artificially
restrains and limits your profit potential, while actually reducing your
SRR to an artificially low number. This is where the
belief system in this set starts to break down, and this is when most wanna-be shooters
pick up bad habits that keeps their shooting in the same range as traditional
random-rollers. When the
neophyte-shooters game stalls out, their progress that once seemed so close at
hand and imminent, now seems to be going further and further away. They make continuous, but never satisfactory
changes to their throw and release that never seem to bring back the magic moments of the
initial success that they experienced when they first took up dice-setting. They get frustrated
with their lack of progress, and in most cases their shooting actually get worse than
their random-rolling counterparts. Their
faith is rattled, and when their dice-throwing does occasionally show glimmers of success,
they think that there is something wrong with their shooting ability and consistency. They concentrate on making the perfect
pitch, but the better they get at it, the worse their SRR becomes. Heres why: We know that each
dice-set has an on-axis 7-probability. The 3-V-set has an
8:1 on-axis 7-probability. The Hardway-set has
a 4:1 on-axis 7-probability. Random-rollers 7-Out
probability is 6:1 That means that you
can expect twice as many 7s while using the Hardway-set as compared to the 3-V. The Hardway-set is hardly the perfect
set that some people say it is. Its
more appropriate for the lazy or sloppy shooters who are satisfied with
mediocre results. When my money is on the
line, mediocre results are the LAST thing that Im hoping for. The Hardway-set promotes lazy shooting and
mediocre results, and thats not blasphemy
thats the truth. The more a
novice-shooter uses this set for his entire hand, the further they discover that the more
ragged or rough their throw is, the better their results are. Well see in a minute just WHY that happens,
and HOW it holds down a players progress
and profit. This is where the
laziness issue comes back into play, and this is where the true shortcoming of the
Hardway-set shows itself. It shows initial
improvement for the beginning-shooter; then progress stalls out as the shooters release
becomes more focused, fluid and reliable. At
that point, the shooter usually becomes lazy and reverts to a more haphazard throw even
though he still carefully sets the dice. In this case, his
dice-results roughly equal those experienced by true random-rollers. Sometimes the player will have decent-length
rolls, but mostly the Point-&-Out beast shows up with annoying regularity. In some fortunate cases, the frustrated player
will discover other more friendly dice-sets, and continue in his pursuit of
progress and profit. Like I said, the
more a novice-shooter concentrates on and practices making the perfect pitch using the
Hardway-set, and the better they get at keeping the dice on-axis, the worse their SRR
becomes. That usually results in
poorer profit consequences. In reality, the
better you become at throwing this dice-set, the shorter your casino rolls will get. Of course, there
will be exceptions when this set will generate some truly awesome-length hands, but they
will be painfully few and far between. There are some
legitimate uses for the Hardway-set. One of
them is on the Come-Out roll. If the dice
stay on-axis, you have an excellent chance of a Come-Out 7-winner. In addition, a
number of professional Precision-Shooters will revert to this set if their dice-throwing
is a little bit off. With the
forgiving nature of this set to off-axis rolling, it will sometimes point
up release, momentum, trajectory, landing or roll-out problems better or quicker than any
other un-matched dice-pairing. But
all-in-all, the Hardway-set has limited use once you have a smooth, steady grip and
release dialed-in. This is especially true
for the balance of your hand once the Pass-Line Point has been established. Now, I agree that
your SRR isnt the be-all and end-all of Precision-Shooting. In fact, I agree that the frequency of Inside
Numbers is the heart and soul of Precision-Shooting, and it certainly forms the core of my
betting methods. For today however,
were talking about the shortcomings of the Hardway-set. Heres more
reality: The better your
Precision-Shooting gets; the more harm the Hardway-set can do to your earnings-success. Let me state that
another way: Using the Hardway
set; the better and smoother your shooting becomes, the worse you will do in the casino. Yes, thats
right. The Hardway set
will actually LOWER your Sevens-to-Rolls ratio as you become a better shooter! Lets revisit
the reasons that we DO NOT want to use this after we establish our Pass-Line Point. We know that each dice-set has an
on-axis 7-probability. The 3-V-set has an
8:1 on-axis 7-probability. The Hardway-set has
a 4:1 on-axis 7-probability. That means that you
can expect twice as many 7-Outs while using the Hardway set as compared to the 3-V. But wait, as they
say when they are trying to sell you value-added products, theres even more. Heres the kicker: Random-rollers 7-Out
probability is 6:1 While the 3-V is
twice as good as the Hardway-set in avoiding on-axis 7-Outs, even a random-roller can
expect to have generally better and longer rolls than the Hardway-set roller. Yes, random-rolling is generally 50% better than
this set once you establish your Pass-Line Point! Of course, the set
that you choose is entirely up to you. Hey, its your
money on the Pass Line, and the dice are in your hands.
With Precision-Shooting we want to remove as much of the gamble
out of casino gambling as possible. If you
are using the Hardway-set, you may be putting a lot more gamble into your
casino play than you realize. Good Luck & Good
Skill at the Tables
and in Life. Sincerely, The Mad Professor
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