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Mad Professor's Shooting From the Don'ts - Part V- continued The
Players
Youll
find a healthy mix of tourists and regular locals at both Casino
Niagara
and Niagara Fallsview Resort. This
ratio varies from season to season and even varies by the day of the week and the hours
that you choose to play at. The
locals who play here on a regular basis are easy to spot, as much as they are in any other
casino around the world. Equally, the well-heeled tourists look pretty much like most of
the locals, especially in light of the fact that security keeps most of the riff-raff away
(they of course make an exception for me due to my ungodly good-looks and effervescent
down-home charm). Its
a little harder to spot the pros who ply their trade on these layouts on a nearly
daily basis because they blend in so well against the radar clutter of dicesetting
random-rollers. If you play here for a while
and spread your action across all three shifts; then an astute observer should be easily
able to identify at least a few of them. Most
of the pros have had their distemper-shots, so by and large they are a likeable and
approachable bunch. I
havent done an official survey or anything like that, but I would guesstimate that
there are more pros who play here on a home casino basis than
most other gaming jurisdictions except A/C and LV. I
make that statement knowing full well just how many good players there are out there, but
equally cognizant of the fact that there are darn few who actually make their living
solely from Precision-Shooting. Now
before you start writing angry e-mails written in crayon under that swaying lightbulb; let
me qualify that. Ø There
are MANY MORE aspiring dice-influencers in MOST OTHER jurisdictions than there are in this
area. That goes without saying. Ø However,
for some reason the Southern Ontario/Western New York market has more Precision-Shooters
who have broken through the good-enough-to-earn-a-living (~USD$60,000+ per year)
threshold than most other gaming-markets. Ø Ive
thought about why this is, and perhaps the best explanation is found in Heavys
year-end 2004 Craps Seminar review. Though
most people who take up dicesetting do so to expand their knowledge, very few are willing
or able to dedicate the time, effort and commitment to achieve dice-influencing
excellence
opting instead for the camaraderie of playing with friends and discovering
less volatile ways to bet on random-rollers. Most players who take up dicesetting never
muster the wherewithal to put it all together and apparently never aspire to actually make
any money at it; so they are quite satisfied in gaining a little more insight into the
game and developing their discipline as well as expanding the social aspects of it. Ø For
some reason, a number of the folks in Niagaras catchment-area have cast off that try-to-lose-less-but-play-for-fun
method, and instead have selected a more income-centered professional approach. I think theres merit in both camps;
its just that one is more entertainment-based while the other has an earnings-and-lifestyle
bias. Ø I
would guesstimate that the pro-player population for Casino Niagara, Niagara Fallsview,
Seneca Niagara, Seneca Allegany, Casino Rama, and Turning Stone is nearing a dozen players
who earn their living exclusively from dice-influencing.
The
fact that Falls Management Inc. (the Chicago Pritzger-family local arm of Hyatt
Corporation) that runs the two Ontario-side Niagara casinos are incredibly tolerant when
it comes to skilled dicesetters taking relatively large amounts of winnings from their
tables on a steady basis, makes the whole profit-extraction process quite a bit less
dramatic or traumatic. In addition to that,
for the most part, these pros maintain an extremely low profile and spread their
action across a wide range of casinos around the world even though these six casinos act
as their home-base. Ill
discuss this issue a little further in a moment. Right
now lets take a look at a few of the high points and low spots during this leg of my
Darkside-shooting journey: Session
Highlights
A
couple of things stand out as to my sessions at Fallsview: Ø I
was moving around from table to table in order to shoot more often, so I had to keep the
various dice-targets at different tables straight in my mind. Ø What
worked perfectly at one table managed to be just slightly off at another. More than ever, I found that it is the minor
adjustment differences that mostly mean all the difference between a winning-hand and a
losing one. Ø I
updated my Shooting Notes during washroom breaks which were actually just
timely escapes from the table in order bypass and evade as many random-rollers as
possible. Ø At
the end of a session I summarized and refined what I had just learned, along with noting
win-rates, logging my longest and shortest hands, along with observations about various
toss-tweaks that I tried out, and whether or not they worked. These are the
actionable notes that we first detailed in Shooting
Bible One and Two. Their
significance and importance cannot be overlooked if you are serious about putting more
winnings into your pocket
and keeping them there
as well as increasing your
hourly earn-rate in the future. Ø For
the first time during this road trip I ran into two huge losing sessions. I abandoned my loss-limit entirely and stayed long
after the point where I knew I should have walked. I
could blame it on the fact that Ms. MP was dealing with substantial health problems and I
was racked with concern, or I could fault the fact that I had been operating on minimal
sleep over an eight or nine night stretch, or I could say that my head just wasnt
into the game
and all of that would be true; but frankly none of that is a valid
excuse for staying in the casino and losing money. Neither
is it a legitimate reason why I ignored every warning-sign in the book, nor is it an
acceptable defense as to why I chose to continue doing battle during a couple of sessions
when I clearly shouldnt have been there in the first place. Ø I
ended up playing six relatively short sessions over two days, and although four of them
were profitable, the other two losing sessions were in the mega-ton damage range. My head just wasnt into the game, so my body
shouldnt have been in there either. Ø I
ended up taking a thirty-day leave from the game. Ms.
MP appreciated the extra attention
and it gave me the time and perspective to put my
head in a place where it needed to be. Ø During
that month away from the tables, I didnt even pick up the dice once. When I was ready to return to the game, I spent
three days doing some intensive practice-sessions that were intermixed with some deep
reflection about the amount of time I had been spending at the tables over the past ~14
years of pro-play versus the reduced amount of time I was now willing to dedicate to it. That decision was tempered with the goal of
maintaining (and actually increasing) my current Precision-Shooting income, while
concurrently allowing me to attend to Ms. MPs time-specific needs as well. Ø When
I got back to the tables, my attitude was so much fresher and my shooting was actually
much better than it was in the weeks leading up to my hiatus. My game-focus was sharper and my trend-awareness
was far more astute than it had been for months. Ø The
time away from the tables did me a world of good. My
game-plan was now more refined and developed, my betting-approaches were better mapped and
clearly plotted, and quite frankly, my less-playing-time/more-retained-earnings
profit-goals were within much closer and direct reach. Ø In
aid of that effort, I dedicated more money to only the strongest plays in my Dark-shooting
war-book, and focused each element of my shooting directly in support of the bets that I
had in action on the table. Ø By
quickly determining whether a particular wager was worth making during any given session
(based on the evident primary-face, on-axis outcomes that I was or wasnt getting
during each specific hand), I was better positioned to jump on real opportunities
and less likely to grasp at phantom ones. Ø On
my first day back at the tables, I played four sessions that averaged about 45-minutes
each. Each session covered several tables as
I moved from shooting-opportunity to shooting-opportunity and generally avoided every
random-roller in the house. Ø I
ended the day with a long and extraordinarily profitable fifth session by betting on a
handful of incredibly-skilled pro players who were absolutely burning up the $50 table in
the high-roller room. Even though I temporarily suspended my Darkside shooting during that
session so as not to disturb their astonishing streak; I didnt give in to the
temptation of momentarily abandoning my Darkside-shooting in favor of Rightside-gunning. Instead, I satisfied myself with the profit that
their great tossing was sending my way, while resisting the urge to join in their display
of shooting-prowess. Ø My
second day back in the saddle gave me a chance to bring about a little more of the
Come-Out-cycle profit that I had become quite fond of during my Casino Rama sessions (that
we covered in Part
Four). My confidence was now
back to the level that it had been at a couple of months earlier, and my profit-resolve
was even more transfixed on the Game Within A Game approach that had already
provided ample proof-positive that the Come-Out cycle can provide just as much (if not
more) steady revenue-production as the Point-cycle itself.
This holds true for Darkside-shooters as much as it does for the Rightsider. Ø I
was able to ratchet up my C-O World-betting to the sixth progression-level more than a
dozen times during Day Two, Three and Four. Ø On
Day Five, for the first time ever since adopting this aggressive progression, I actually
won the seventh-level C-O World-wager. That
was one for my record-books. Ø On
the Point-cycle side of the game, I was able to keep the average number of rolls needed to
bring about a 7-Out winner in the four-tosses range. Ø One
thing that I found particular success in was the idea of playing at the high-dollar
tables, but using a partial (2:1 ratio) Doey-Dont offset-method as a way to get higher-than-posted
free-Odds. In this case I doubled
Niagaras standard 3x, 4x, 5x-Odds (and straight 6x-Odds for DP and DC wagers) by
having twice as much money on the DP as I did on the PL, and then using the doubled-up
line-bet to effectively double the amount of allowable Odds without needing a
commensurately higher line-bet. That way, I
was able to artificially raise them to the Odds to 6x, 8x, and 10x if used on the
Rightside, and to 12x when used on the Darkside (as I was doing during this trip). We fully explore this innovative gaming approach
in the third installment in my Creating More Shooting Opportunities series. Ø When
I used the same Odds-stretcher approach on an empty $10 table the next day, the
entire crew nodded their approval and commented that though they had never seen it done by
anyone for quite the same reason as I was (to extend the range of allowable Odds); they
all agreed it was an excellent way to turn mediocre Odds into slightly better Golden
Nugget-type Odds. Ø Buoyed
by that endorsement and by the fact that my Darkside-shooting was still functioning mostly
the way I wanted it to; I extended the Doey-Dont offset-ratio from 2:1 to 3:2 then
eventually to 5:4 when I was on the cheaper $10 and $15 tables. Nary a word was said by
the crew, although it did draw a few curious questions from fellow players who
couldnt quite figure out how the heck I was being allowed to Lay up to 30x-Odds when
I only had a one-unit difference between my DP and PL line-wagers. Ø Day
Three, Four and Five also saw a steadier stream of Darkside profit, but there were a
couple of unceremonious PL-Point repeating losers thrown in once in a while, which served
to keep my ego somewhat within check. Ø Even
with the higher-value Odds-ratios and those few untimely DP-losers; my DP Point-cycle
profit easily outstripped what I had previously made during earlier segments of this
Darkside journey (where I had been using a much lower Odds-to-DP ratio). The
Northern Outpost of Skilled Shooters
As
I mentioned a moment ago, the percentage of talented dice-influencers who frequent Fallsview
continues to surprise me. Now
dont get me wrong, the total community of adequately skilled dicesetters is
still quite tiny compared to the total number of craps players worldwide; but the number
of superior-to-great shooters who frequent casinos in this area is rather satisfying
especially if you are always on the lookout for other talented shooters so you can ride
their expert coattails. Ø Though
there always seems to be at least one or two of them in the house at any given time,
youll often find them at the high-dollar ($25 and $50) tables instead of at the
cheapest and most crowded $10 layouts
although that is not always the case. Ø That
may be indicative of the fact that the better a shooter gets at mastering
dice-influencing; the more often youll find them seeking out additional shooting
opportunities that the $15, $25, $50 and $100 tables offer. Ø As
I previously mentioned, I explore this phenomenon in the recently posted Creating
More Shooting Opportunities Part III, but back to my point, and
that is that youll almost always run into at least one exceptionally talented
shooter here. The problem is in
distinguishing them from the myriad pretenders and wannabes that youll find at
virtually every casino that you walk into nowadays. With the sheer number of players and
the multiple tables, its altogether possible that you could be playing in the
presence of outstanding talent and not even realize they are at a nearby table. Ø Now
the upside of all this is that a player who has considerable Precision-Shooting talent can
still play with significant anonymity in this jurisdiction.
As I mentioned previously, casino management hasnt yet fallen into the
WE dont want YOU to win OUR money mindset yet. Lets hope they never do. Casino
Niagara
Doing
a report on the original casino in Niagara Falls, Ontario has become problematic. The conditions, as well as the number of tables in
play, continues to change. For
years, Casino Niagaras 100,000 square feet had eight craps tables that saw at least
five or six of them in rip roarin action around the clock. Over time, that number diminished to seven, then
six to five, then to three and now its down to one.
As
the Hyatt Gaming folks drive as much of the craps-business as they can to their
crown-jewel Fallsview Resort just a couple of blocks away, they have made the conscious
decision to reduce table-game activity at the old casino and channel as much of it as
possible to the new place. In the process,
theyve alienated more than a few players, but their bottom-line reflects the
soundness of their decision, so I dont see any reversal of that verdict. Ø I
consider their lone remaining craps table as one of the best-rolling layouts in North
America, as far as being the most dynamically-forgiving of slightly off-kilter landings,
energy-absorbing of excess into-the-backwall speed, and neutral response to straight-line
forward-spin dice-tracking and rollout.
Heat
and Other Unwanted Attention
If
you dont have a Players Advantage Club card, they wont hound you to get one,
but if you wish, they will call over to the PAC booth and have one printed up in your
name. Ø Heat
is virtually unheard of at both Casino Niagara and Fallsview.
Of course you have to touch the backwall with at least one dice, or they will warn you
that BOTH dice have to hit it. Enforcement after your second warning can be a little
stricter. Thats not heat
its just the rules. Ø I've
seen their tables recurringly dump anywhere from $20,000 to $80,000 on a fairly regular
basis to a number of the same players, while the dealers and the pit-guys cheer right
along with the rest of the table. Zero heat, zero sweat, zero concern. Ø I've
seen their $25 table drop well over $350,000 in one hand (in a matter of 20 minutes or so,
where all the Outside-numbers would NOT stop rolling), and it hardly got a second look
from the Pit Manager (although they did need to restock their table-bank reserve of $5,000
chips at the end of it). Ø As
far as the talented pro-shooters who frequent the six local casinos and make their living
strictly by playing craps are concerned; Ive never seen any of them receive any
undue heat or unwarranted pit-attention at any of the places that I mentioned. Lets hope that their relatively low profile
helps to keep it that way. The
Food
Ø Getting
a food comp at Casino Niagara is a bit easier than it is at Fallsview,
but the quality at both places is roughly the same.
However, be forewarned that the food-quality is fairly low on the totem-pole
unless youve spent an excess amount of time under the care and control of state or
federal authorities; in which case, youll probably be quite happy with it. Ø I'm
not saying that the food at either place is bad; it's just that it's generally
uninspired and dull (with one exultant exception). Ø The
Grand Buffet at Fallsview overlooks the Falls, and the wait-staff is fine. It adheres to the nicer-plate/same-old-crap
philosophy of trying to convince you the food is better just because the surroundings are
so nice. Sadly, it fails to persuade anyone
whose taste-buds are still functioning. Ø 17
Noir
has some notable Asian fare, but is limited on the a la carte Continental/American side of
the menu. If you have to pay for it with your own money instead of a comp; then there are
more than 40 other local restaurants that beat it...hands down. Ø The
Market Buffet at Casino Niagara falls very short on the quality-scale. I'd
give it a 2.8 out of 10, but that rating is undeservedly high because I like a few of the
staff-members there. Most humans and a few
overly-pampered canines would give it a 1-out-of-10. Ø Their
Twenty-One Club at Casino Niagara has a classically-trained chef who takes
food styling to a new pinnacle. I won't steal his thunder...but I'll just say that as each
course arrives...you won't know whether to eat it or just sit back and admire the artistry
of it. This hidden-in-the-basement jewel is
the only restaurant at either facility that is worthy of any uncomped dining-dollars. Ø The
Grand Cafe offers an intimate little club-like setting...the service is
GREAT...but the food just manages to eke out a barely-passable 5.0 in my book. Is
That All There Is? I
mentioned this in Part One of my road trip report, but it bears
repeating again; especially if you are normally burdened with playing at crowded tables. One
of the drawbacks of shooting from the Donts is the fact that your most successful
hands will be short
VERY SHORT. Ø That
means at a crowded table youll have to wait until the dice circle back around before
you have a chance to re-prove your shooting prowess again.
Ø It
also means that you have to use even more self-control so you dont unwittingly
surrender your hard-gained advantage back to the house by unintentionally losing some or
all of your winnings as the dice make another lap around the table. Its
hard to be patient when you make some decent money off of your own good shooting, and then
have to wait interminably for another shot at the cubes. Some
skilled dicesetters actually add to their frustration because they witness how fast they
can make money when the Darkside dice are in their hands, yet it drives them crazy knowing
that it will take so long before they can do it again. What
used to take them 10 or 15 or 20-rolls to make the same amount of money when they were
shooting from the Rightside, is now often accomplished in just two or three Darkside
tosses. To their mind, it carries less of a
sense-of-accomplishment and more of a sense-of-impatience because of the now-extended
interval for when theyll be allowed to do it again. At
the end of a short but successful Darkside-hand, theyll ask themselves, Is
that all there is? In
realizing that theyll now have to wait for the dice to come back for yet another short
hand; they tend to get impatient and end up blowing their profit (and sometimes a
portion of their original bankroll) because of reckless impetuousness and their insatiable
need to bet on random-rollers. At
Casino Niagara and Niagara Fallsview Resort, your patience
will be called upon again and again, even at the high-buck tables. Fortunately, with their neutral-to-forgiving
layouts; resisting the urge to bet on anything that breathes, is rewarded when the cubes
finally make their way around to you again. |
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